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"I was stupid... So stupid"

Ok, so I've been thinking on the possible scenarios for letting Orin into the base or not. As far as I can see, there are 6 possible outcomes of this:
1. We let him in and he's telling the truth:
Win for everyone. One step closer to the Sin Purge Ritual, and one Stalker down.
2. We let him in and it was a ploy to get into our base:
The Mission Disclosure goes up by an unknown amount? And we have confirmation of a Stalker, who we may have to assasinate, losing Orin's soul, but taking out a Stalker.
3. We let him in and he was lying about being a Stalker:
We lose nothing but time. Potentially gain part of the Ritual, provided that wasn't a lie too.
4. We don't let him in and he's telling the truth:
We lose part of the Sin Purge Ritual, possibly forever. The other Stalkers may target him, taking out Orin's soul permanently.
5. We don't let him in and it was a ploy to get into our base:
We lose nothing, but potentially confirm that Orin is a Stalker.
6. We don't let him in and he was lying about being a Stalker:
We potentially lose part of the Ritual.
The more I thiink on it, the more I feel that in this situation letting him in is worth the risk.
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